Our data comes from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study(CCES). Its large number of observations (32,800 in 2008 and 55,400 in 2010) provide sufficient samples of the non-immigrant sub-population, with 339 non-citizen respondents in 2008 and 489 in 2010. For the 2008 CCES, we also attempted to match respondents to voter files so that we could verify whether they actually voted.
How many non-citizens participate in U.S. elections? More than 14 percent of non-citizens in both the 2008 and 2010 samples indicated that they were registered to vote. Furthermore, some of these non-citizens voted. Our best guess, based upon extrapolations from the portion of the sample with a verified vote, is that 6.4 percent of non-citizens voted in 2008 and 2.2 percent of non-citizens voted in 2010.
Because non-citizens tended to favor Democrats (Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the 2008 CCES sample), we find that this participation was large enough to plausibly account for Democratic victories in a few close elections. Non-citizen votes could have given Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health-care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress. Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) won election in 2008 with a victory margin of 312 votes. Votes cast by just 0.65 percent of Minnesota non-citizens could account for this margin. It is also possible that non-citizen votes were responsible for Obama’s 2008 victory in North Carolina. Obama won the state by 14,177 votes, so a turnout by 5.1 percent of North Carolina’s adult non-citizens would have provided this victory margin.So Sen. Franken, and Obamacare were, in all probability, the result of illegal voters, as was Obama's electoral college victory in North Carolina. No wonder the Democrats are bound and determined to get as many illegal immigrants into the country as possible by the end of Obama's 2nd term.
Is there a cure, short of evicting all the illegals from the country? Absolutely. We need to tighten the residency requirements for voter registration, to make people prove they are citizens and not just "residents". And we need enforcement. In some republican districts we need to check the residency of all the registered voters, and those who vote, and prosecute the hell out of non-citizens who attempt to influence our elections to make the point that we don't tolerate interference with our democracy. If you want to vote, become citizens.
Will we be accused of racism if we do so? Almost certainly, but we just can't give in to an illegal scheme to pack our electorate with illegal voters.
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