Tuesday, October 20, 2026

El Nino is Here, What Will Winter Look Like?

 NOAA, El Nino looms large over U.S. Winter Outlook, "Expected impacts include warmer North, wetter South and East"


Sounds good to me.


Flotsam and Jetsam - Is France Done For?

Sundance at CTH says Macron Orders Curfew in Primary Tourist Regions of Paris to Stop Discussion of Riots, Arson and Looting, note the "stop discussion." PJM's Rick Moran sees Government Buildings Torched As French Riots Reach the 'Point of No Return'. Hank Berrien at Da Wire, watches as France Burns: Palestinian Flags Fly Over France’s Republic Statue As Riots Rock The Country, "Historic Limoges town hall gutted, 1,200 arrested, 150 cops hurt." At Hombre de Oliver, RIP Limoges Hôtel de Ville. "A few thoughts on city halls inspired by the news of its destruction." At PJM, VodkaPundit wonders Where Are the Gendarmes? Probably rioting for better police stations. Ace hears French Police Flee from Violent "Students" "Protesting Class Sizes" as "Class Size Riots" Spread Throughout Europe. "Boy, foreign immigrants and 35-year-old communist fifth columnists sure are bears for education resources." Larry Alex Taunton @LarryTaunton, "There is no 2a in France. Imagine: Francois hears someone breaking into his home one night. He has no gun. Gun possession, but for rare cases, is illegal. So, he grabs a golf club. He confronts the intruder hellbent on harming his family. Francois puts a 3-wood to the side of Muhammad’s head. Muhammad is hospitalized with a fractured skull and Francois is jailed for excessive use of force. What was he supposed to do? Nothing, really. This is precisely what Democrats want here. All of your rights hang on the Second Amendment." Quote Breaking911 @Breaking911, "Looters in Marseille, France, have reportedly begun targeting private homes, breaking into large villas in the affluent 7th arrondissement." Francois is screwed. 

Althouse sees Tourists salvaging what they can of their Paris trip? Or are these locals? I'm guessing locals. They're smoking! Fox News @FoxNews, "A striking contrast on the streets of Paris: A couple sits sipping drinks at an outdoor café as flames burn just steps away. The moment was captured Saturday near the Arc de Triomphe, on the outskirts of rioting that erupted during demonstrations over rising prices, inequality and public spending. Video shows the pair continuing their conversation as a burning trash bin lights up the background." PJM's Stephen Kruiser thinks The Burqafication of France Is Nearly Complete. Abe Greenwald at Commentary takes on The Riot Coalition. Krzysztof Szczawinski @Kristof_Poland, "The Useful Idiot: A Natural History Specimen: Western, educated, well-meaning. Habitat: universities, NGOs, quality newspapers, dinner parties where the wine is good and the opinions are better. Status: abundant...." Krzysztof Szczawinski @Kristof_Poland, "The look of someone discovering reality. This young woman stood in front of a smashed shop window in Paris last night and said the smashing and looting are not what the cause is about. She still believes the people who broke the glass share her cause. They don’t. They have their own...." Jeffrey Carter at Points And Figures notes France Burns, But So Does the US. Matt Goodwin predicts Yes. Marine Le Pen will be the next President of France. Here’s why.

TownHall's Matt Vespa reports The Feds Have That DNA Evidence on Ilhan Omar...and It Could Totally Wreck Her. Ace, We Got Your DNA: Federal Agents Dug Through Ilhan Omar's and Her "Sister's" Garbage to Find DNA to Establish Whether Or Not They're Actually Related, "Remember, when you toss out your garbage, you are abandoning it and disowning it, so no warrant is needed to search and seize it. So we have Ilhan "Omar's" DNA." PJM's Cathy Salgado hears there is No Record of Ilhan Omar’s Father’s U.S. Naturalization? This would be a big deal, since her claim to citizenship comes through him, with her receiving citizenship as a minor (a factoid also in dispute) from his naturalization. Bill Glahn at Power Line on Missing Ilhan’s missing defense. Dave Harsanyi at Da Signal observes Ilhan Omar Isn’t Above the Law Either.

Northern Barbarian @xnoesbueno, "The memo went out. “Pearl clutching” is the new Dem dismissal when anyone hits them for advocating violence, calling for punitive lawfare, pretty much whenever they open their mouths. “Spare me the pearl clutching.” All the violent, seditious, gun and money grabbing pearl clutchers are gonna be saying it." Quote Elissa Slotkin @ElissaSlotkin, "Spare me the pearl-clutching — especially from Republican Members of Congress and online MAGA grifters who have cheered President Trump's weaponization of the government against those he doesn’t like, as recently as last week. This is a subject I know something about: Less than a a year ago, Trump directed the DOJ and FBI to investigate me, and then tried to criminally indict me for a 90 second video, exercising basic free speech. The same free speech you’re exercising now, lying about what I said in this clip...." Quote Mike Lee @SenMikeLee, "It is absolutely disgraceful to threaten young Americans for participating in politics and serving their country." Ian Miller @ianmSC, "Amazingly and predictably Elissa Slotkin has managed to make herself the victim after calling for fascist government prosecutions of everyone who disagrees with her political ideology so that they're too scared to ever work in government." Quote Greg Price @greg_price11, "Elissa Slotkin claims that the only reason that she's being attacked for threatening lawfare against young conservatives for serving in the Trump administration is because she's a woman." Is she? It's so hard to tell with Democrats these days. Hans Mahncke @HansMahncke, "Slotkin has, in many ways, done us a favor. She has revealed the ultimate purpose of lawfare, which is to override the will of voters. This is no longer about Trump, if it ever was. The simple truth is that the left has built a long-term system to subvert election results and ultimately entrench de facto one-party rule. We cannot keep fighting the abuses one at a time while leaving the system that produces them untouched. This is why we founded http://Counterlawfare.org. We need to confront this machinery head-on, expose how it operates, and awaken Americans to the full scale of the threat." At his NYPo gig, Insty writes Elissa Slotkin’s threats to prosecute conservatives moves America closer to civil war. Power Line's John Hinderacker worries Is Another Civil War In Our Future? "Once the powers of the federal government are openly deployed to keep one political party in power, there is no basis for shared citizenship and the union is doomed."

From Twitchy, Perpetually Furious Judge Ana Reyes Triggered by Trump’s Post Calling Her a Crazed Lunatic. Beege Welborn at Hat Hair, The Judge in the Back Said 'Everyone Attack' and It Turned Into a Golf Course Blitz. I think the Federal government should file a writ with Judge Reyes everytime the government plans to cut down a tree...

TheFOO @PolitiBunny, "Just answer the question, lil guy." Quote DSA Watch @DSA_Watch, "Reporter: “Your sister in law was on a Terrorist Watch list” Abdul El-Sayed: “Mike Rogers and his Flock camera and his Patriot Act and his surveillance state” x.com/dsa_watch/stat…" Rabbi Barclay warns War Has Many Faces. Sister Toldja at RedState reports a Reporter Reveals What He's Been Told About Michigan Polling in Latest Concerning Sign for El-Sayed. “One of the factors that is really worth paying closer attention to are the number of Democrats, lifelong Jewish Democrats, especially in the Detroit suburbs, who are saying for the first time in their lives they’re voting Republican,” Peters said. “That’s a big deal.” Hat Hair's Dave Strom hears the New Hotness: Mamdani Is Really a Moderate, You Know. Deroy Murdock at Da Signal says Soft on Terrorism, Hard on Guns: Talarico’s Legislative Record Is Scarier Than Halloween. Buck Throckmorton at Ace's THE MORNING RANT: Wealth Extraction – It’s What Socialists and the “Financialize Everything” Capitalists Have in Common. 'Dave Freer @davefreersf, "Based on past records: I think we can safely say that my 2 year old grand-daughter would be more to be trusted than any government, to manage her money. And she'd crumple it, lose it or eat it, & pooh it into her nappy. Come back when you can demonstrate that Govt. can do better." Quote Gabriel Zucman @gabriel_zucman "Hi @elonmusk , we’ve conducted the most comprehensive study to date on tax unfairness in the United States. We found that you, like your fellow billionaires, pay a lower effective tax rate than the average American. So if you really want to help the American people, I have a ..." Quote Elon Musk @elonmusk, "Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America." Nick Gillespie at Reason warns us Be Prepared for Elizabeth Warren's Reign of Economic Error, "The progressive Democrat, whose party may take control of the Senate, is sounding alarms over consolidation in the hot sauce business." Stephen L. Miller @redsteeze, "It's not that hard. The left lets institutions and communities break down to a point of total degradation to prove why more government and non profits are the answer. The goal is to purposely not solve problems and make life and safety worse. See the entire defund the police movement and homelessness nonprofits in California. Gavin Newson promised to end homelessness and instead it ballooned on purpose...." 

DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican, "THE DEMOCRACY FILES, PART 1: THE PLAN. I am working on gathering all the documents. Now, here's something to understand about the "democracy" and protest ecosystem: almost nobody knows the 'grand plan' so to speak. They simply agree to play a role. For example, 99% of people breaking stuff on the streets believe they're doing it out of an organic uprising. They don't see that the police have been ordered to stand down. They don't see that legal services have already been arranged for them. They don't see that foundations are paying for their bonds. Similarly here, governors aren't participating in a pact to destroy the Constitution. Governors simply have agreed to push back on the Insurrection Act. The effect is the same: the governors end up playing a role in a grander plan...." Scott McKay at Da Fed, says Hey Democrats, That Rage Engine of Yours Is Going to Throw a Rod, You Know "The Left keeps revving up the outrage, but voters may be running out of gas."

PJM's Stephen Kruiser thinks Trump Vs. the Pollsters Is a Fight That's Always Fun to Watch. From Twitchy hears James Woods Sums Up Gavin Newsom and His Call for a 'Blue Tsunami' With One Glorious (NSFW) Word. James Woods @RealJamesWoods, "Well, you could start with water in the fire department reservoirs, dick head." Quote Gavin Newsom @GavinNewsom, "A blue wave isn’t enough. We need a BLUE TSUNAMI. From New Hampshire to California, we have an opportunity to send a message across this country that we’re BETTER than this." Shipwreckedcrew @shipwreckedcrew, "So, is it a coincidence that DOJ is out arresting people in California today for being non-citizens who have registered to vote? What does that prove? It proves that there are registered voters in California who are ineligible to vote in federal elections and California has sent them mail-in ballots. That is "knowledge" under the "aiding and abetting" theory of criminal culpability. Coming up shortly on Substack." Sarah Hoy proposes A Pause Before The Fire "The one thing I can tell you for frigging sure is that the October surprise they’re warming up is a stock market crash. Yes, yes, I know. AI is overmonetized and will come down hard. I get that. And it will inevitably take some companies — like the chip makers — down hard as well."

Pro Life reports All 47 Senate Democrats Begged Lee Zeldin Not to Test Your Tap Water for "mifepristone and misoprostol – the two drugs used in a chemical abortion – along with their metabolites." Don't turn on the lights 'cause we don't want to see! Leslie Eastman at LI reports Monarch Butterfly Populations Rebound as U.S. Honeybee Colony Counts Rise. “Two new reports from WWF-Mexico and its partners found that colonies covered 7.24 acres of forest in the 2025-2026 season. That’s an increase of 4.42 acres compared to last season.” I blame Trump.

Luke Greenberg at PJM sees U.S. Targets A7 Network Over Alleged Role in Iran Sanctions Evasion. @instapundit @instapundit, "Once we liberate Iran we can produce an expeditionary force made up of Iranians who hate Muslims." Quote Nioh Berg @NiohBerg, "After Iran is free, America should seriously consider liberating Europe." At Reason, Trump's War With Iran Pushed Him To Waive a Century-Old Shipping Law. Commerce Boomed. "The Jones Act requires all goods moved between American ports to be carried on American-built, American-crewed ships." The problem is that our deindustrialization has all but killed American shipping. RCP observes the obvious, Ethanol Mandates Are Driving Up Fuel Prices. Ethanol mandates are a bipartisan folly.

At the Algemeiner, Trump Gives Netanyahu ‘Complete and Total Endorsement’ Nine Days Before Israeli Election. Sundance hosts Secretary Rubio Delivers Remarks and Answers Media Questions from Uzbekistan and Outgoing Senator John Cornyn Sends Alarming Public Statement Via His X Account: Senator John Cornyn @JohnCornyn, "Recent reports on Starshield satellite communication disruptions in Ukraine raise serious concerns and must be investigated. I joined @SenatorShaheen, @SenThomTillis, and six of our Senate colleagues in calling for the @DeptofWar Inspector General to determine what happened with this critical capability and protect American personnel. It remains in our national interest to help Ukraine defend itself from Putin’s aggression." "Option #1 – Senator John Cornyn genuinely doesn’t know that Ukraine has never had access to “Starshield.” The implications within this possibility are alarming, especially when you consider his senate office staff wouldn’t stop him from making a public fool of himself. Option #2 – Assuming he’s not made a mistake. Senator John Cornyn has just publicly exposed a deep state, highly classified secret, outlining to Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin that the United States has indeed been operating the Ukraine targeting system against Russia all along. This has major implications. Option #3 – Again, assuming he’s not made a mistake. Senator John Cornyn has just exposed that elements within the United States government are controlling military operations and operating without the knowledge of President Donald Trump and Secretary of state Marco Rubio. You choose."

At Lawrence Person's BattleSwarm Blog, “Why Is Everyone Investing in Texas?” Good barbeque? Kurt Schlichter @KurtSchlichter, "That’s not enough. We should cut more. People should pay for their own healthcare. And the government should get out of the healthcare business so we don’t have the Obamacare system that is absolutely screwed up – just as we warned it would be." Quote Rep. James Walkinshaw @Rep_Walkinshaw, "$1 trillion. That's the Medicaid cut Trump signed into law, and it's coming for Americans' health care. Families already struggle to afford groceries, rent, and gas under his economy." At Twitchy, Get a Look at the 'Researchers' Leaving the US Because of Trump’s Politicization of Science. May I suggest Afghanistan?

RCP looks at The Rise and Fall of Katie Zacharia. I really don't think she got a fair deal, but who would want to take that on, especially after Karoline Leavitt knocked it out of the park? Teri Christoph at RedState says About That Rumor That Susie Wiles Is on Her Way Out..., take them with a salt lick. From Da Caller, ‘It Was Epic’: Kid Rock Discusses Trump Dinner With Stephen A. Smith, Bill Maher. Hat Hair VIP's Capt. Ed wonders Did Vance Just Throw 2028 Into Chaos? "Did J.D. Vance just signal that he will walk away from politics at the end of this term? Or is he really just the kind of procrastinator he claims?"


JT Young at Am Spec thinks What Happened to John Cleese Isn’t Funny, "Britain’s free-speech crackdown makes the Ministry of Silly Walks look positively sensible."

TownHall's Kurt Schlichter sees Woke 2 Is Here, and It’s Failing Hilariously. Nocturnal Nick @foxluvsbunny, "I was flying to New York and while boarding the woman in front of me was struggling to get her bag into the overhead bin. I asked if she needed some help and she said no. About an hour into the flight a flight attendant pulled me aside and asked what I had said to her. Turns out she reported me to the crew for sexual harassment and said I made her uncomfortable. Fortunately several witnesses took my side and so I didn’t get into any trouble, but you’ve still got to be careful. There’s some crazy people out there who will try to ruin your life over nothing." Quote Jay@countrypilled, Replying to @RichardArion1, "what is the worst thing that happened to you for approaching a girl? you got imprisoned? pepper sprayed for introducing yourself to her? you shouldn't live in fear of women. they're just women, and a lot of them are nice." From Althouse, "The onslaught against [Jane] Doe and her supporters is taken directly from the playbook that established them: Gamergate." "Writes Nathan Taylor Pemberton, in "I Have Never Seen the Online Right So Happy" (NYT)." Pretty much completely rewriting history.

From the College Fix, a Rutgers student sues school over arrest for hanging ‘anti-Hamas fliers’. According to the Cleveland Jewish News, "Yiorgos Maravelias had been arrested at a May 2024 pro-Israel counter-protest for, he claims, hanging “anti-Hamas fliers” near an “anti-Israel encampment.” Maravelias, a disabled veteran, said he got involved in “campus activism” shortly after Hamas’ October 2023 assault against Israel, Fox News reported. He said he had set up a table next to a “vocal minority” of anti-Israel Rutgers law students to share his views about Hamas — that they’re “rapists, monsters, [and] savages.” Maravelias’ complaint alleges Rutgers Law administrators “disfavored” his political views and “perceiv[ed] him as Jewish” (he’s not), and notes Rutgers is “home to the controversial Center for Security, Race and Rights,” headed by Law Professor Sahar Aziz, whom Maravelias accuses of “ripping [down] his fliers from a bulletin board.”"

And still more at the Wombat's In The Mailbox: 10.19.26. 

Tuesday Tanlines

Padma Lakshmi
At Indian Express, Why Indian skin tans so quickly
Celebrity dermatologist Dr Jaishree Sharad, in a recent chat with host Priyali Mahtani, explains why Indian skin tans so quickly, while breaking down the role of eumelanin – the pigment responsible for the brown tones in our skin.

Priyali asks her if it’s patchy skin where the face is a different skin colour from the hands, chest, or tummy, or if it’s a characteristic of Indian skin types more than any other? Is it something unique that is commonly found with our Indian skin tone? 

Deepika Padukone
 

Dr Sharad explains why Indian skin tans so quickly: it’s because of
the pigment called eumelanin. Melanin is of two types: eumelanin and pheomelanin.

“Now, melanin is something that is giving us colour. So if you have eumelanin, you’re getting a darker shade. If you have pheo, you get more red shades. We have shades of brown. So when you have more eumelanin, you tan sooner. So you don’t need to make an effort to tan,” she says.


Monday, October 19, 2026

Another Bad Year for Striped Bass in the Bay

MDDNR, Maryland Striped Bass Reproduction Index Higher for 2026 But Below Average For Eighth Straight Year

The Maryland Department of Natural Resources’ (DNR) 2026 juvenile striped bass survey recorded a young-of-year index of 5.5. Although it marks the eighth consecutive year of low spawning success for striped bass, this is the highest index recorded since 2018. The survey tracks the reproductive success of Maryland’s state fish in Chesapeake Bay.

During this annual survey, fisheries biologists sample 22 sites located in four major striped bass spawning areas: the Choptank, Nanticoke, and Potomac rivers, and the upper Chesapeake Bay. Biologists visit each site three times per summer, collecting fish with two sweeps of a 100-foot beach seine net. The index represents the average number of 3-inch or smaller juvenile striped bass caught in 132 sweeps of the net. The survey, one of the longest-running continuous fish surveys in the United States, has been conducted in Maryland’s Chesapeake Bay since 1954.

 

This year’s survey captured 723 juvenile striped bass. The highest performing areas were the upper Bay and Choptank River. Although striped bass catches were below average, the fish were more widely distributed than in recent years, indicating suitable habitat throughout the nursery areas. The long-term average index for the survey is currently 10.8, while the index was 4.0 in 2025 and 2.0 in 2024.

“We are encouraged to see some improvements to the numbers of juvenile striped bass this year, while it wasn’t as robust as we would like,” said Maryland DNR Fishing and Boating Services Director Michael Luisi. “Ongoing low recruitment is anticipated to impact rebuilding of the coastwide striped bass population. Results from coastwide juvenile indices will be incorporated into the ongoing work to produce the benchmark stock assessment expected to be completed in 2027.”

 

Efforts to rebuild the Atlantic Coast population of striped bass to previous high levels have been underway for several years and are ongoing. Through the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission, Maryland and other states that border the Atlantic Ocean have implemented management measures, including reductions to catch limits, tighter slot limits, and season closures. Continued low levels of reproduction will influence future conservation measures under consideration by the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission.

Recent population estimates indicate healthy adult populations of striped bass, despite the downturn in juvenile spawning success. A rebuilt adult population should reproduce successfully when conditions like river flow, temperature and food availability are favorable for striped bass eggs and larvae.

 

Multiple factors affect striped bass spawning success in the Chesapeake Bay. Cold winters and wet springs tend to be beneficial for spawning, and while Maryland experienced a cold winter, the prolonged regional drought and resulting low river flows may have led to unfavorable conditions for striped bass eggs and larvae. High river flows increase spawning habitat, allow eggs to remain suspended in the water column, and bring larvae closer to food sources. Other variables, including a shortened spawning period, could also influence spawning success.

These consecutive below-average year classes will likely become more apparent among the adult population of striped bass in the coming years, as the juveniles reach maturity. A benchmark stock assessment for the coastwide population of Atlantic striped bass is underway and expected to complete peer review in spring 2027. The stock assessment will evaluate the condition of striped bass from Maine to North Carolina and inform future management actions.

Everybody who fishes for stripers in the Bay is well aware of the dearth of small fish, the very fish that are needed to keep the population moving forward. And you have to go farther, and fish longer to catch the same number of fish that you used to. 

Oregon, My Oregon

 Griffin J. John II, the suspected shooter
Eric Florack at PJM says Bring the Charges, Oregon. I’ll Bring the Popcorn.

Let me get one thing out of the way before the hate mail starts: Kaylub Giamanco is a hero. Full stop. Understand that right now before reading further.

Giamanco is the 36-year-old father who grabbed his pistol from his truck, followed a 16-year-old gunman into Silver Rail Elementary School in Bend, Ore., and put him down. Three children and a teacher died before he got there. Nobody knows how many more would have died if he hadn't.

And I want Oregon to charge him for carrying a loaded firearm on school property.

Yeah, I know. “Say what?”

Hear me out, because my reasons aren't what you might expect. What Giamanco did saved lives, and I hold that his actions were justified, both morally and legally. Oregon law even has a name for it: the "choice of evils" defense, which excuses breaking a law to prevent a greater, imminent harm. If a 16-year-old firing a shotgun into a classroom full of special-needs kids doesn't qualify, nothing does. I don't lose a minute of sleep over the idea of a jury convicting him, even in deep-blue Oregon.

Here's the problem, though. Bend-La Pine Schools bans guns on all district property, concealed-carry license holders included. The district passed that ban after the state legislature handed every school district the option in 2021. For a licensed carrier, breaking it is a class A misdemeanor, punishable by up to a year in jail. By the letter of the law the Left wrote, Giamanco should have stayed in the parking lot.

Think about what staying in the parking lot would have meant. Police say the gunman fired roughly 15 rounds inside that classroom. Officers arrived within about three minutes, which is a fine response time by any standard, and still not fast enough. When seconds count, police are minutes away. That isn't a slogan. It's arithmetic.

Kaylub Giamanco shot the killer
 

The district had done everything the safety consultants recommend. Secure vestibules at every entrance. A classroom door-locking system. None of it mattered. According to police, the gunman shot out the glass panes in a set of outside doors and walked in. Locks buy time. They don't end an attack. Two people ended this one. One was a teacher who, according to police, threw her phone at the gunman, tackled him, and fought him for the weapon with her bare hands. The other was a dad with a .40-caliber pistol; the law said he had no business carrying it through that door.

So charge him. Make a Soros-paid prosecutor stand up in open court and argue that a father had a legal duty to wait outside while a teenager with a shotgun worked his way through a classroom. Make the gun-grabbers defend their gun-free zone with the bodies still warm. Put the district's own policy into evidence and read it aloud to the jury. They'd have to admit what we've said all along: the good guy with a gun saved lives, and their law stood in his way. Make the whole thing public on national TV and do it before the election.

They won't, of course. Nobody has announced charges against Giamanco, and nobody will, because the trial would be the best pro-gun ad ever produced. So the Left does the next best thing. It talks around him.

Take Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), who still harbors presidential ambitions for reasons I can't fathom. Kelly and his wife, Gabby Giffords, posted Thursday that "extremists keep blocking critical, lifesaving laws." Not a word about the lifesaving, law-abiding gun owner who ended the attack. That's about as thin as a statement gets. Because you see, in light of these events, it’s Kelly that’s the extremist, and he knows it.

Kelly has company. Rep. Janelle Bynum (D-Ore.), who represents Bend, flew home and told reporters the laws "don't go far enough, fast enough." Funny thing about that. A law enforcement official told reporters the shotgun belonged to the gunman's mother, who bought it. Oregon already rates among the strictest gun-law states in the country, according to the Giffords Law Center itself. The laws on the books didn't stop a 16-year-old from getting his hands on that shotgun. The only law in this story that worked as written is the one that tried to keep Giamanco out.

If it happens, and I don't believe it will, Kaylub will not have any trouble raising money for his defense. 

Flotsam and Jetsam - Ukraine Russia Still Fighting, France Still Burning

WaEx reports Blaze at St. Petersburg oil sites as Kyiv launches more than 1,000 drones at Russia. Jen Kavanaugh at Am Con proposes A Long-Term Plan to Secure Peace for Ukraine, "The brutal, yearslong war might end in 2027—if the White House plays its cards right." Ace looks at The Cognitive Dissonance Of The Pro-Ukraine/Anti-Russia Commentariat. "There is a default assumption among the vast majority of the media, both the mass-market variety and the supposedly high-minded elites who comment on everything, no matter their expertise. Ukraine GOOD! Russia BAD! That sums it up nicely. And they are half correct! What they seem to miss is that Ukraine is a kleptocratic cesspool of corruption, and their only saving grace is that they were attacked by Putin's Russia, and not by Poland or Belarus, which would have elicited a giant yawn in western capitals. And they also miss the provocation from the West that probably began with Bush senior, when Russia was still the Soviet Union. They were promised that NATO had no plans to expand east, so the buffer between western Europe and mother Russia that the Soviet Union had created wasn't necessary." And Sundance at CTH, well, sundance has Sunday Talks – Treasury Secretary Bessent: “Zelenskyy Needs to be Very Careful About Making Statements That are Not True”…, Zelenskyy is Lying – Secretary Marco Rubio Responds to False Claims About Ukraine, Starlink and Starshield, President Trump Points Out Zelenskyy’s Financial Motivation to Keep War Going and Mike Steger Interprets President Trump Ukraine and Russia Policy Objectives. The Babylon Bee @TheBabylonBee, "Man Frustrated By Gas Prices Votes To Start Castrating Kids Again."

Also at CTH, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney Confirms 4 Dead, Several Dozens Injured, During Military Live-Fire Exercise, live fire hit a natural gas wellhead, started a wildfire in a drought with high winds. What the...? Did they hire Karen Bass to advise?

At Da Wire Trump Lays Out Why He’s Canceling Plans To Live-Stream Terrorist Execution, "The decision came after days of speculation on whether the administration would follow through on Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's announcement." Don Surber explains How Trump got Hasan’s execution accepted, "Cartoonist Scott Adams saw him as a wizard who got people to think through the sale. Trump did." He starts by asking for the moon and stars, and settles for the moon.

Dave Strom sees Radicals Burning France Down. From Driscoll at Insty, IS PARIS SCUFFLING? Government Buildings Torched As French Riots Reach the ‘Point of No Return.’ "Related: Very fine people on both sides..." EuroNews reports a Euronews' crew assaulted by masked individuals while covering protests in Paris. At Althouse just Paris. Visegrád 24 @visegrad24, "Galeries Lafayette in Paris is being looted tonight. It’s the French equivalent of Harrods in London or Bergdorf Goodman in NYC," and BREAKING: The looters in Marseille have started targeting private homes villas in affluent areas. They are breaking into large villas in the 7th arrondissement of Marseille." Cathy Salgado at PJM hears a Report: Marseille Rioters Burned Jewish-Owned Shops, Left Muslim-Owned Ones Untouched. Nick Arama at RedState, Macron Faces Fury When It's Revealed What He Was Doing As Riots Escalated in France; "Macron and his wife, Brigitte, were spotted at Dion’s concert at the Plenitude Arena in Nanterre, west of Paris, according to French media reports. The couple reportedly arrived and left discreetly and were among roughly 35,000 spectators at the performance." From sundance, During National Address to France President Macron Says He “Doesn’t Know What is Going On” but He’s Sure President Trump is to Blame. At the Telegraph, Trump blames France violence on immigration, "US president urges country to ‘close your borders and take control’ as cost-of-living demonstrations turn violent."

From the Manhattan Contrarian, France Is The Future Of The Progressive Project. Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital, "Europe gives them free healthcare, free housing, free education, every social program, and a quality of life they could never have back home… yet they will still loot and destroy the West into the third-world. There is no magic soil. A nation is simply it’s people." Twitchy finds @IsraelWarRoom Has Some Interesting Suggestions on How France Should Address Its Riots (LOL). Israel War Room @IsraelWarRoom, "We call on France to exercise restraint when dispersing the freedom fighters on the streets of Paris. These brave warriors for justice must receive immediate humanitarian aid, and their safety must be guaranteed in accordance with international law. Failure to comply will leave us no choice but to bring a case before the ICJ, in close cooperation with that renowned champion of human rights, Afghanistan."

Hat Hair's Josh Hammer calls Abdul El-Sayed A Muslim Brotherhood Puppet and a Grave National Security Threat. Sister Toldja at RedState hears 'No': Mike Rogers Shuts Down Reporter's TDS in Exchange on El-Sayed's Muslim Brotherhood Ties. From the Crimson Hub, Profiting from Socialism: Meet the DSA lobbyists set to make bank if DSA-dominated Dems win big next month. At Althouse, "The D.S.A.’s rise is at once a story of party-blobification and of a revolt against it. Like the conservatives of the 1970s..." "... the group frankly views the party it occupies as a host for an ideological movement rather than as a partner...." From "Is Anyone Actually in Charge of the Democratic Party? And Does It Matter? This year’s midterm elections are a test of whether a party can be a success and a failure at the same time" (NYT)." Nicolle Russell at USA Today warns Texas, don't let James Talarico's charm fool you. "Like former President Barack Obama, Texas state Rep. James Talarico sells unity to cloud his progressive record. Conservatives who believed Obama know how that ends." 

At Am Think Monica Showalter thinks about Is Rep. Ilhan Omar a U.S. citizen? "So, not Somali-American anymore, just Somali?" From Twitchy, Welp, This Tidbit About the Ilhan Omar Raid BLOWS the Left's Trump Targeting Claims Out of the WATER. Fox News Politics @foxnewspolitics, "The judge who signed the warrant to raid Rep. Ilhan Omar's DC home is a Hillary Clinton donor who clerked for an Obama appointee. That fact alone demolishes the left's claim that this is some Trump-orchestrated political hit job. Mike Davis argues the opposite is true: the evidence against Omar must be so overwhelming that even a judge with deep leftist ties couldn't refuse to sign off. The Fourth Amendment requires probable cause of at least one federal crime inside that home, and U.S. Magistrate Judge Matthew Sharbaugh — appointed by a bench dominated by Obama and Biden picks — found it was there...." Joe Chalfant thinks Obama's Comments on the Ilhan Omar Situation Are Absolutely Insane. Will Ricciardella @WillRicci, "FLASHBACK: Obama’s IRS singled out Tea Party and other conservative groups for heightened scrutiny based on their names and political positions, delayed tax-exempt applications for years and demanded unnecessary donor information. The IRS ultimately admitted wrongdoing and apologized. Obama insisted there was “not even a smidgen of corruption.” Quote Barack Obama @BarackObama, "It is a basic principle of American democracy that the government can’t selectively target individuals simply because of their political beliefs or what they say. But that’s exactly what the Trump Administration is doing to Congresswoman Ilhan Omar of Minnesota."

Atop Da Hill, Read this before you buy the ‘blue tsunami’ hype, "4 reasons why we should treat midterm polls with caution." Eric S. Raymond @esrtweet, "We've seen this movie before, it's a very common attempt to manipulate the voter pool. Phase 1: Bogus polls put the Democrat way ahead during most of the run-up in an attempt to demoralize Republican voters. Phase 2: Bogus polls are allowed to tighten to a very narrow D lead just before the election. An honest poll would show a huge R lead. Phase 3: Ballot fraud steals the election. The purpose of the bogus polls was to supply top cover for the fraud. It's a tale as old as time." Quote Kostas Moros @MorosKostas, "Texas polls converging on much smaller Talarico leads than they showed a month ago. From 5-7 point leads down to just 1-3 points. Either the massive Paxton rescue effort is working, or the Talarico leads were always BS." Commonplace urges Confidence, Not Faith, in the Ballot Box, "An election system should provide something that transcends disagreements: a process that can be examined."

DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican, "The past few days, I got my hands on thousands of new transcripts and hundreds of recordings, thanks to leads from @SKDoubleDub33 and @iamlisalogan . You've heard that the DSA is proposing structural reforms to America, including abolishing the Senate and imposing term limits. What you not have heard is - there is an operational plan to put it all into action. If the Democratic Party sweeps 2026, then DSA will become "foot soldiers" in constant clashes with the administration to cross a "red line" or invoke a "doomsday scenario" - meaning, President Trump invokes the Insurrection Act, probably sometime in 2027...." ((( Charlottesville ))) @CvilleBubble, "Heads Up, Virginia: AG Jay Jones’ 10-page election directive is the DataRepublican blueprint in real time. @DataRepublican laid it out: coordinated clashes with the federal government to delegitimize it and hand legitimacy to Democratic state officials -- specifically governors & AGs Virginia’s AG just ordered election officials to: • Deny ordinary DOJ monitors access to polls • Tell federal agents to leave and call local police • Document badges, weapons, vehicles & movements • Challenge federal subpoenas • While eliminating Election Day voter eligibility challenges. No specific unlawful federal operation identified—just preemptive resistance that sets up the “red line” showdown and shifts authority to the state and transfers legitimacy and control to Democratic state officials -- in Virginia's case, leftwing extremists Governor Abigail Spanberger and Attorney General Jay Jones --This is an operational plan, not theory. The conditions for escalation are being set in advance. SHARE with your friends. VOTE REPUBLICAN..."

There were a veritable plethora of responses to Elissa Slotkins stated plan of going after Republican youth to discourage them from supporting Trump. PJM's Matt Margolis, Democrats Just Cranked Their Government Weaponization Agenda Up to 11. Hat Hair's Dave Strom, Elissa Slotkin to Young Republicans: We Are Coming for You. Insty collected a number of tweets, Cynical Publius @CynicalPublius, "I honestly do not understand how any American who is not already a literal Communist or a literal Jihadist could vote Democrat after hearing what Slotkin said below. This is LITERALLY totalitarianism. It's not the fake "fascism" the Left likes to accuse the Right of, it is the REAL THING. Undeniably. Irrefutably. This is a sitting member of Congress who was in the CIA saying that dissent from what she believes will result in imprisonment. ..." Karol Markowicz @karol, "They told me the US was heading toward fascism and they were right," Quote New York Post @nypost, "Sen. Slotkin urges Dems to use prosecution to make young people afraid to serve in Trump admin." Hon. Vickie Paladino @VickieforNYC, "It’s a very short jump from here to reeducation camps, gulags, and mass graves." Quote The Chicago Thinker @ThinkerChicago, "ON UCHICAGO CAMPUS: U.S. Senator from Michigan Elissa Slotkin hopes planned political prosecutions of republican leaders will scare young conservatives from getting involved in politics." Amy Curtis @RantyAmyCurtis, "Really looking forward to the David French column about how Slotkin is right."

Dan McLaughlin @baseballcrank, "Make no mistake: this sort of conspiratorial hyperbole, utterly disconnected from the actual written Constitution & aiming at its marginalization, is agitprop aimed at the destruction of our constitutional order." Quote Josh Marshall @joshtpm, Replying to @joshtpm, "2/ Supreme Court in American history with the possible exception of the Roger Taney's Dred Scott court. The Roberts Court has spent the last 15 years tearing up the constitutional order and the last seven or eight years being little more than an extra-constitutional veto for ..."


Charles Murray @charlesmurray, "Starting with the Coleman Report in 1966, continuing with studies of prison rehabilitation, job training programs, causes of poverty, race differences in IQ, and causes of sex differences in occupational preferences. To name a few." Quote Steve Sailer @Steve_Sailer Replying to @ArtemisConsort, "Almost nobody realizes that just about every liberal feel-good nostrum has been tested by liberal social scientists over the last 60 years, with practically none of them turning out true. That was already fairly well established when I started reading social science in 1972."

At Althouse, "If sexual misconduct prevents a victim from taking full advantage of her education, then the institution has to address it." ""That responsibility is an awkward fit in some ways, but it reflects the reality that colleges are not just classrooms; they are a very particular kind of community in which all members have a duty of care toward one another. The Cornell case shows how hard it can be for universities to enforce Title IX well and also why they have to keep trying...." Writes Emily Bazelon, in "This Is One of the Saddest Facts About the Cornell Rape Case" (NYT). The sad fact in question is that Jane Doe dropped out, and she did not complete her degree elsewhere. Her education — her path to a career — was disrupted." By actions she initiated and participated in willingly. One of the commenters suggested OnlyFans. 

The Monday Morning Stimulus

With a lead off from Damla Durgan:


Then why am I getting old?