You can always tell when the memo goes out that it's time to scare people again. Today three different stories appeared in the Chesapeake Bay news feed about the threat of rising sea levels:
Five gorgeous landmarks threatened by rising seas
1. San Francisco’s EmbarcaderoHere's the reality of sea level rise in San Francisco. Two millimeters per year, constant since at least the early 1900s, probably back to the Civil War, and no evidence of recent acceleration of the rate.
California’s Bay Area can expect sea levels to rise by up to 55 inches by the end of the century, putting an estimated 270,000 people and $62 billion [PDF] worth of San Francisco urban bling at risk of increased flooding. That presents a major challenge to the three-mile stretch of San Francisco’s downtown Embarcadero district, which features more than 20 historic piers, a bulkhead wharf in 21 sections, a seawall built in the late 1800s, and the iconic Ferry Building, fully commissioned in 1903. California’s seasonal king tides already overflow San Francisco’s sea walls and occasionally spill into the Embaracadero, providing a preview for what might happen more regularly if sea levels continue to rise.
#2 was The Battery, New York. I've featured it before. As sea level has risen, Manhattan has expanded. That's what they have earth movers for.
#5 was Annapolis MD. Sea Level is rising a little faster in MD than in California, largely because the land is sinking instead of rising, but again, no evidence of a recent increase in rate.
Water may wipe away trail Tubman blazed, Blackwater refuge
Sea level rise may indeed wipe out Blackwater and the trail, but it isn't due to sea level rise. Salt marshes like the eastern shore will keep up with sea level rise unless interfered with. Fires, nutria, and erosion from boat traffic from the edges will cause the marsh to lose ground to sea level rise.
and the third story: 800 miles of Md. roads would be affected by sea level rise
Gov. Martin O'Malley warned in December that rising sea levels over the next century would threaten "400 miles of roadways," when he signed an executive order making protection of billions of dollars in state infrastructure a top priority.Again, at this point, a prediction of greater than 1 ft per century, the long-term historic rate, is completely speculative.
...Maryland is home to more than 5,200 miles of state roads and about 21,000 miles of county roads, according to Maryland State Highway Administration documents.
A CNS analysis found that roughly 800 miles of roads would be affected if sea levels rise another 2 feet. At 5 feet, an estimated 3,700 miles would be under water. The bay already has risen more than a foot in the last century, and scientists predict it will rise 2 to 5 feet before the end of the next century.
Yes, when you make a road, you fix the height of that span. Sea level rise will, at some point, reach a road placed at low levels. People adapt. You either give up and use boats (like Venice, Italy) or you build up the land (like Manhattan).