Wednesday, February 16, 2022

I Want a Piece of this Bet

Let's see, I was born in 1951. I'll be 99 when this bet comes due. WaPoo, Sea level to rise one foot along U.S. coastlines by 2050, government report finds

The shorelines of the United States are projected to face an additional foot of rising seas over the next three decades, intensifying the threat of flooding and erosion to coastal communities across the country, according to a report released Tuesday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Human-caused climate change, driven mostly by the burning of fossil fuels, has accelerated global sea level rise to the fastest rate in more than 3,000 years. The report by NOAA, NASA and five other federal agencies — updating a study from 2017 — predicts that ocean levels along U.S. coasts will increase as much by 2050 as they did over the past century.

Sea levels are rising around the world. Here's how high they could reach.

This amount of water battering the coasts “will create a profound increase in the frequency of coastal flooding, even in the absence of storms or heavy rainfall,” NOAA said.
Projections of sea level rise — relative to a baseline of 2000 — for five emissions scenarios
 and an extrapolation of observations (labeled as present trajectory) for the globe and contiguous
 United States. (NASA-JPL/Caltech)
“We’re unfortunately headed for a flood regime shift,” said William Sweet, an oceanographer at the NOAA National Ocean Service and the nation’s top scientist on sea level rise. “There will be water in the streets unless action is taken in more and more communities.”

Drawing on data from tidal gauges and satellite imagery as well as cutting-edge models from the most recent United Nations report on climate change, the NOAA analysis gives decade-by-decade projections for sea-level rise for all U.S. states and territories over the next 100 years. Advances in ice sheet modeling and better observational data allowed the authors to give more definitive near-term projections than ever before, Sweet said.

Except, there's just no evidence that the rate of sea level rise is really increasing in the only real data, the tide gauges scattered all over the world. For example, Baltimore. 

At WUWT, Rud Istvan has a post, Sea Level Alarm, on how the word appears to have gone out to promote this scare mongering. I think they must be getting pretty desperate to get people to pay attention to them to go out on a limb like this. What happens when 2050 comes, and sea level has only risen by the 4 inches that current rates of sea level rise suggest? Give us our money back, quit their jobs, and wear sack cloth and ashes? Nope, they'll just move the goal posts, and promise that the world is going to end in the next 50 years, if we don't fund their work, and follow their pronouncements. 

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