A pretty decent tide, with lots of shell and gravel
The best of 30 teeth, a stunning 1 1/2 inch White Shark ancestor, Carcharodon hastalis.
One day you wash up on the beach, wet and naked. Another day you wash back out. In between, the scenery changes constantly.
At the Buckeye Firearms Assoc, Trump reiterates support for national right-to-carry reciprocity. As a fairly liberal New Yorker, I suspect Trump personally doesn't fell strongly pro-gun, but he knows his coalition. Mary Chastain is pleased to report the Energy Dept. is Moving to Drop ‘Green New Scam’ Appliance Mandates. "Thank you. THANK YOU. Make it happen!"
Hat Hair's Capt. Ed is worried that the US Adds Only 57,000 Jobs in June As Workforce Deflates. I gave up trying to make sense out of job numbers a while ago. The methodology is shitty, and manipulative. I also wonder how much of this is due to the ongoing self-deportation of illegals. The Wall Street Journal thinks it is.
Bonchie @bonchieredstate, "Every time. It’s never organic." Quote AG @AGHamilton29, "This is a major red flag. The CCP is funding/aiding left-wing groups and activism to try to push policies that discourage us developing energy independence."
From DataRepublican’s Substack, The 400,000 USAID Deaths That Nicholas Kristof Will Not Tell You About. "How USAID Built the South Sudan, Watched It Collapse, and Then Allowed China to Take Over."
Eric at Security and Cigars, explains Why Wolford Should Worry Big Gov Fans More Than Slaughter. "SCOTUS has now made clear that states and cities cannot simply designate broad categories of private property as “sensitive” and thereby ban the exercise of constitutional rights there. This has obvious and immediate implications for the Second Amendment, but it also reaches into First Amendment territory like speech, religion, and assembly. As well as many other rights protected by the Constitution." Charles C. W. Cooke @charlescwcooke, "Impressive ignorance. The unitary executive theory is about personnel; it confers no substantive powers on the executive branch that haven’t been delegated by Congress. The whole column is a bizarre non sequitur." Quote Dana Milbank @Milbank, "My latest column looks at how Democrats are drafting plans to to use the all-powerful, unitary executive that Trump has established (and the Roberts Court has blessed) to launch a new Progressive Era, in which a Democratic president imposes by executive fiat government-run health." At Da Caller, Clarence Thomas Laughs As MS NOW Reporter Barrages Him With Questions. Althouse says I don't believe Nina Totenberg's explanation for why she reported that Justice Alito was retiring. "I'm reading "'I am so, so sorry': NPR reporter explains SCOTUS retirement error" (CNN): "Say what really happened, " and "Democrats stopped talking about trans politics long before the court’s ruling this week." ""In June, which is L.G.B.T.Q. Pride month, no Democratic candidate mentioned the word 'transgender' in their TV ads, according to data from AdImpact, a media tracking firm. Their silence may be an attempt to deprive Republicans of campaign-trail ammunition.... A New York Times/Ipsos poll conducted in January 2025 showed that nearly 80 percent of Americans opposed allowing transgender athletes to participate in women’s sports...." At substact Insty recommends Ditching the Seventeenth. "Taking the Senate back to the Framers' Intent." Let State Legislators pick Senators? We could do worse, and have.
Gina Milan @ginamilan_ "Ruh Rho" Quote Paul Sperry @paulsperry_, "BREAKING: Here's the just-filed NLPC bar complaint against NY attorney Roberta Ann Kaplan. The basis for the complaint is that Kaplan failed to inform Trump’s lawyers + the court when she knew her client E. Jean Carroll provided false testimony by denying outside funding for her."Starring the Taylor Gallo in the rare triple play:
Coffee sentiment over the past month has been shaped almost entirely by Brazil. A cold front moving through Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, and Parana has raised fresh frost risk concerns just as the 2025/26 harvest winds down, a development that briefly lifted prices toward $2.60 per pound from levels closer to $2.50, which had been the lowest since November 2024. Traders are also watching the developing El Nino pattern, with industry analysis suggesting a stronger event could delay the September to October rains that are critical for the 2026/27 flowering period in Brazil, a risk that extends well beyond the current harvest cycle. At the same time, ICE certified arabica stocks have fallen to 396,171 bags, sharply below the 859,389 bags held a year earlier, reinforcing the view that near term physical supply remains tight even as the broader narrative turns bearish.
A lovely day, mostly sunny, in the high 70s, a light east wind, and a low tide.From the Balmer Sun, Baltimore budget deficit swells to $64M. Here’s why.
Baltimore officials say an unusually brutal winter and soaring overtime costs have pushed the city’s current budget into a $64.4 million deficit, forcing leaders to tap reserve funds despite stronger-than-expected tax revenue. Finance officials told the Baltimore City Council on Tuesday that cleanup costs tied to four snowstorms — along with overtime spending in the police and fire departments — wiped out what had been projected as a $19.6 million surplus earlier this fiscal year. The largest hit came from emergency winter operations that kept crews working around the clock for weeks. The city budgeted $8 million for snow cleanup and instead spent $80 million this year.
“Even in the best planned environment, you’re going to hit a storm that’s going to go beyond what you’re budgeted for,” Deputy Finance Director Bob Cenamme told council members. “That’s why we have reserves.”
Baltimore wasn’t the only city struggling with this year’s winter storms. Philadelphia, for example, budgeted $4.1 million for snow cleanup and ended up spending $59 million. Washington D.C., meanwhile, budgeted $7.3 million and spent more than $67 million.
To close the gap, Baltimore plans to draw from its rainy-day fund and use FEMA reimbursement money. The city’s reserve fund now sits near $200 million. City officials confirmed to The Baltimore Sun they haven’t received the FEMA funds yet. As of Tuesday, Baltimore was still in the process of applying for the money.
Tax revenue, parking revenue and investments saved the city from digging an even deeper hole in its budget, city officials said. Income tax revenue alone gave the city $17.3 million more in revenue surplus than originally projected after generating $74 million more than predicted in Q2. Vacancies across several agencies, including the comptroller’s office, state’s attorney’s office and city IT department, also reduced spending.
Still, the city’s overall financial outlook deteriorated sharply from earlier projections. The Q2 projections for the total budget were worse by $84 million, as the city expected to have a $19.6 million surplus instead of a $64.4 million overall deficit.
Here's a clue. If you spend more money than you take in, you'll run a deficit.
With Aurela Hoxha:
The EPCOT palm trees that flanked Spaceship Earth have been removed after being irrevocably damaged during cold snaps this winter. The trees were previously in flowerbeds right behind the flag poles at the entrance to the park. As of May 22, they are all gone. Florida experienced several bouts of freezing temperatures this winter. Disney was able to protect some plants but trees saw significant damage. We saw Disney trying to save the banyan tree at Animal Kingdom.
At WUWT, GOOD: NEWS: NOAA predicts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season
Forecasters with NOAA’s National Weather Service are predicting a below-normal hurricane season for the Atlantic basin this year. NOAA’s outlook for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs June 1 to November 30, predicts a 35% chance of a near-normal season, a 10% chance of an above-normal season, and a 55% chance of a below-normal season.
The agency is forecasting a total of 8-14 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 3-6 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1-3 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5 with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges. An average season has 14 named storms with seven hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
The Atlantic season is expected to be below-normal due to competing factors. El Niño is expected to develop and intensify during the hurricane season, while ocean temperatures in the Atlantic are expected to be slightly warmer than normal and trade winds are likely weaker than average. El Niño conditions tend to support less tropical storms and hurricanes, while warmer ocean temperatures and low winds support a more active year.
WUWT has the Scorecard: How Well Does NOAA’s Hurricane Outlook Actually Perform? 26 Years of Forecasts vs. Reality
Let's check the data:
NOAA’s May outlooks land within their stated range for named storms roughly 17 of 25 years; about 68%, just shy of their own 70% confidence target. The hurricane count accuracy is similar. That said, NOAA aims for a range (not a point forecast), so some “hits” are easier than others in wide-range years.
So, a little better than a coin toss...