But first, from Capt. Ed at Hat Hair, US Pounds Kharg Island Ahead of Trump's Deadline; Update: Fractures? just to get their attention. At Insty, VodkaPundit thinks MOST INDICATIONS ARE THAT TRUMP’S CEASEFIRE TALK ARE A SIDESHOW TO KEEP MARKETS CALM AND EUROWEENIES FROM YAPPING TOO MUCH: OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical, "Iran has cut off direct communications with the U.S. over Trump’s “civilization will die” threat this morning. -WSJ"
That didn't age well: Stacy McCain, Trump Declares Ceasefire in Iran. Beege Welborn at Hat Hair, BREAKING: We Have a Ceasefire. Sarah Anderson at PJM, BREAKING: Trump Announces a Ceasefire. Sundance at CTH, President Trump Postpones “Civilization” Ending Attack on Iran Contingent Upon Hormuz Strait Opening. Althouse cites Trump "... a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East...." "Trump at Truth Social, an hour ago: Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East. We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated. On behalf of the United States of America, as President, and also representing the Countries of the Middle East, it is an Honor to have this Longterm problem close to resolution. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP." And, "There will be lots of positive action! Big money will be made." "Trump at Truth Social: A big day for World Peace! Iran wants it to happen, they’ve had enough! Likewise, so has everyone else! The United States of America will be helping with the traffic buildup in the Strait of Hormuz. There will be lots of positive action! Big money will be made. Iran can start the reconstruction process. We’ll be loading up with supplies of all kinds, and just “hangin’ around” in order to make sure that everything goes well. I feel confident that it will. Just like we are experiencing in the U.S., this could be the Golden Age of the Middle East!!! President DONALD J. TRUMP" We’ll be just “hangin’ around”... ready to bomb you back to the Stone Age if you don't pick up on this lots-of-positive-action vibe. Don't you want big money? The builder wants to build. On top of all of that demolition." Ace, Trump Accepts Deal for Two Week Ceasefire, Saying Sides Are Very Close to a Permanent Deal.
Democrat, progressives and the media reacted about the way you'd expect. Scott Pinsker at PJM has Bad News, Guys: The New York Times Says We Lost the War — and Iran Is Now a ‘Major World Power’. Matt Margolis at PJM, Democrats Called Trump Crazy — Then He Got a Ceasefire with Iran. Bill Kristol @BillKristol, "The Mother of all TACOs." Matt Van Swol @mattvanswol, "You literally thought he was going to commit genocide this morning... ...and now you're mad he didn't Cannot make this up, Leftists are seriously the stupidest humans on the face of the earth Did you spend 20 years cheering the Iraq War?" Cynical Publius @CynicalPublius, "Earlier today Ro Khanna was claiming that Trump is a genocidal maniac akin to Hitler. Now he is claiming that Trump is a cheese eating surrender monkey akin to France. How do Democrats reconcile such irreconcilable thoughts inside their heads? There are only two possible explanations: 1. They have zero qualms about lying. 2. They have fully abandoned logic and reason in favor of emotion. Sometimes I feel like Spock gawking at Doctor McCoy." Quote Ro Khanna @RoKhanna, "Trump backed down. No credit to Congress, which barely made a whimper. Credit to the American people—progressive activists & anti-war conservative." Dave Rubin @RubinReport, "Which Panican wants to hand me my “I told you so” award? Trump has been running the same negotiation playbook forever. Pressure, escalation, chaos… then leverage a deal. We’ve watched it happen again and again. This wasn’t complicated. It was basic pattern recognition. While some people were panicking, others were paying attention..." Rusty Weiss at RedState, Trump Calls Out CNN's ‘Fraud’ Fake Iranian 'Victory' Statement — Says Criminal Investigation Underway.
So, we may have a ceasefire. I'm not sure the Iranians will honor it, but if they don't, Trump has plenty of assets to bring to bear as quickly as he wants. FWIW, Marine Traffic doesn't yet show a lot of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a few bulk carriers; I don't see any oil tankers taking the trip. Maybe they're all waiting for someone else to be first.
Mark Penn@Mark_Penn, "War crimes? Senator Merkley from Oregon said that taking out mixed use infrastructure like bridges and power plants would be war crimes and suggested as well that soldiers in the US Army need not follow orders such as that. The Iranians have sent hundreds of missiles targeted at civilian centers in Tel Aviv and throughout Israel as well as towards hotels, plants and airports of UAE and other countries. The civilians are not collateral damage — they are the primary target of hundreds and missiles and drones. And they massacred tens of thousands of their own people — just machine gunned them down. By rulers who have no legitimacy whatsoever..." Douglas Bulloch @douglasbulloch, "Destroying a bridge? Isn’t that a war crime?" Quote Daily Mail @DailyMail, "Ukrainian forces 'used British drones to destroy Russian-held bridge' in first-of-its-kind operation https://trib.al/WzLKJO4." Ari Fleischer @AriFleischer, "Great point. Next time Senator Kelly (D-AZ) does an interview, a reporter should ask him if he ever committed a war crime by taking out a bridge or a power plant." Quote Andrew Kolvet @AndrewKolvet "CONTEXT: Retired fighter pilot Wiz Buckley points out that Mark Kelly targeted civilian infrastructure as a pilot. He targeted power plants, TV stations, and roads in the opening hours of that war, while up until now, President Trump has avoided hitting civilian." Amy Curtis @RantyAmyCurtis, "Ro Khanna supports Hasan Piker, who not only said America deserve 9/11 but applauded the rapes of Israeli women at the hands of Hamas. Those rapes, by the way, are actual war crimes." Quote Ro Khanna @RoKhanna, "We need to invoke the 25th Amendment and remove Trump. Threatening war crimes is a blatant violation of our constitution and the Geneva Conventions." Joel Pollak @joelpollak, "You never lost a wink of sleep over what Iran was doing to its own people, to American soldiers, to Israeli civilians." Quote Aaron Rupar @atrupar "I feel sick to my stomach waiting around today to see what atrocity Trump has in mind for the people of Iran this evening. It's hard to fathom that our other elected leaders aren't able to check him in any meaningful way. It's really an indictment not just of the electorate but..." Duane Patterson at Hat Hair, Enter B-52 Sandman.George MF Washington @GMFWashington, "California voters paying $19 million to polish the state’s reputation so their Governor can run for President is peak Blue State." Quote New York Post @nypost, "Gavin Newsom to spend $19M in taxpayer funds on New York PR firm to polish California's image." At PJM VodkaPundit explains why Jennifer Siebel Newsom Is the Crazy Rich White Lady Your Mother Warned You About. MAZE @mazemoore, "Gavin Newsom's wife recalls telling prisoners at San Quentin about running over and killing her sister with a golf cart. She said that she wasn't punished because it was an accident but that the prisoners are doing life even though theirs was "probably an accident too." From Breitbart, Newsom’s Wife Wants Legislation to Stop Boys from Becoming Right-Wing. Amy Curtis @RantyAmyCurtis, "Remember: Jennifer Siebel Newsom is running for president in 2028. Gavin is just the front man." Quote Steve Guest @SteveGuest, "Gavin Newsom's wife: We're working on legislation so that kids "don't go down this rabbit hole of very, very dangerous and limiting narratives around ultimately what it means to be a girl and what it means to be a boy." Uubzu v4 @uubzu, "Gavin Newsom: I euthanized my mom and had an affair with my best friend’s wife. I despair of finding a woman who can match my history of familial homicide and extreme sexual impropriety Matchmaker: you’re not gonna believe this..." At Da Signal, The California Exodus Grows as Affordability Crisis Pushes Residents Out. WUWT, The California Refinery Crisis is a national security risk for America. From NYPo, Shocking fraud racket uncovered in California — with tentacles stretching to Nigeria.

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